Chennai Mathematical Institute

Seminars




Mathematics Colloquium
Date: Wednesday, 31 January 2024
Time: 3:30-4:30 pm
Venue: Seminar Hall
Power and Limitations of Opinion Polls

Rajeeva Karandikar
Chennai Mathematical Institute.
31-01-24


Abstract

How can obtaining the opinion of, say 20000 voters be sufficient to predict the outcome of an election in a country with over 80 million voters?

Do the opinion polls conducted say a month before the election accurately predict what is to happen on the voting day?

I will answer these questions and share my own experiences with opinion polls and exit polls in India over the last 2 decades.

uNote by speaker: The talk will essentially be repeat of my earlier talks - those who have attended need not attend.