Mathematics Colloquium Date: Wednesday, 31 January 2024 Time: 3:30-4:30 pm Venue: Seminar Hall Power and Limitations of Opinion Polls Rajeeva Karandikar Chennai Mathematical Institute. 31-01-24 Abstract How can obtaining the opinion of, say 20000 voters be sufficient to predict the outcome of an election in a country with over 80 million voters? Do the opinion polls conducted say a month before the election accurately predict what is to happen on the voting day? I will answer these questions and share my own experiences with opinion polls and exit polls in India over the last 2 decades. uNote by speaker: The talk will essentially be repeat of my earlier talks - those who have attended need not attend.
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