3:30 pm, Seminar Hall
Making sense of Opinion polls
Rajeeva L. Karandikar
Chennai Mathematical Institute.
04-04-19

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Abstract

How can obtaining opinion of, say 1200 voters be sufficient to predict the outcome of an election in a country with over 45 million voters? Do the opinion polls conducted say a month before the election accurately predict what is to happen on the voting day?

I will answer these questions and share my own experiences with opinion polls and exit polls in India over last 2 decades.

[There is significant overlap with talks on this theme given earlier at CMI]