3:30 pm, Seminar Hall Making sense of Opinion polls Rajeeva L. Karandikar Chennai Mathematical Institute. 04-04-19 Abstract How can obtaining opinion of, say 1200 voters be sufficient to predict the outcome of an election in a country with over 45 million voters? Do the opinion polls conducted say a month before the election accurately predict what is to happen on the voting day? I will answer these questions and share my own experiences with opinion polls and exit polls in India over last 2 decades. [There is significant overlap with talks on this theme given earlier at CMI]
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