Mathematics Colloquium
Date: Wednesday, November 9th, 2022
Time: 3:30 pm to 4:30 pm
Venue: Seminar Hall
Power and limitations of opinion polls
Rajeeva L. Karandikar
Chennai Mathematical Institute.
09-11-22

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Abstract

How can obtaining the opinion of, say 1200 voters be sufficient to predict the outcome of an election in a country with over 45 million voters? Do the opinion polls conducted say a month before the election accurately predict what is to happen on the voting day?

I will answer these questions and share my own experiences with opinion polls and exit polls in India over the last 2 decades.

This talk will have a lot of overlap with earlier talks I have given on this theme at CMI and elsewhere.